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And it has brought us to this trainwreck called ObamaCare and we have bankrupted our kids and grandkids!

We are now headed into the 2014 Election Season and common sense and conservatism are on the rise. Please stand-up and be counted!

Reading Collusion: How the Media Stole the 2012 Election is a great place to start!

The Founding Father's Real Reason for the Second Amendment

And remember the words of Thomas Jefferson "The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government." See Video of Suzanna Gratia-Hupp’s Congressional Testimony: What the Second Amendment is REALLY For, below (u-tube HERE).

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Showing posts with label GOP debate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GOP debate. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Final GOP Debate Before Super Tuesday and 3 Other Primaries - Updated

The CNN Arizona Debate is over and so are the GOP debates until after Super Tuesday, after about 14-additional primaries are over.

Live blog: CNN Arizona Republican Presidential Debate

As with all of the debates, there were winners and losers. Who won, who lost and what’s next?

Debate Video: Republican Presidential Debate (CNN/Arizona Republican Party) - February 22 2012

Video:  Highlights From CNN  GOP Debate in Arizona

Debate Transcript

First the winners.

Whether Mitt or Newt won depends on who you listen to.

Gingrich  was in top form tonight and was able to hold the position he loves to operate from. He was able to swoop in on certain questions and do really well, answering in a sly superior fashion. If Newt had nights like this in every debate, he would be much closer to being the nominee.  Newt probably built up his vote share last night with his quips and insight, but every vote he gets back comes from Santorum not from Romney.

Mitt Romney also fell into the winner circle. Romney is not as good a debater as Newt but was prepared. Preparation can overcome a multitude of sins and what ever else you want to say about Romney, he does prepare well for debates, plus he is getting better at it.  One of Romney’s advantages is that he comes across as presidential.

Former Clinton political advisor (now a Republican) and author Dick Morris wrote:

In last night's debate, Romney showed how he has grown through this contest and has developed into a presidential figure.  By contrast, Santorum's performance was distinctly congressional.  I found myself agreeing with Santorum on much of what he said, but willing to follow Romney.  In sync with Rick, but trusting

Mitt.Santorum's replies were pedantic, tactical, and detailed. No inspiration there.  He was like a lawyer advocating his case or a congressman battling for a bill.  But Romney came across as a real leader - charismatic, bold, strong, and, ultimately, inspiring.  See his full post HERE.

Ron Paul could have been a winner if he could have stayed away from foreign policy issues. Foreign policy, specifically Iran, is his Achilles heel. Iran is a threat to America. Radical Islam is a threat to America. We are not threatening Iran. Iran is threatening America and Israel; the big and little Satans as they call us. Ron did have some humorous moments last night. And what I do agree with Ron Paul on is that we need to formally declare wars before entering into them!

CNN is a winner too. CNN did not hit any of the Republicans with any really bad gotcha questions and the really stupid questions, like describe yourself with one word, were kept to a minimum.

The Republican Party, with twenty some debates has also scored big with the Debates. They have been a big draw for the networks that have carried them so have been a good showcase for all of the Republican candidates. A year ago, who would have believed we would have had this many debates?

The losers:

Rick Santorum. Santorum needed a knock out punch today to beat Romney. He did not get it. He stumbled. Not only did he not get his knock out punch, he was back on his heels most of the debate. He stumbled and fumbled in dealing with all of the candidates. Santorum did not have the worst debate performance ever. He did not forget which departments he would abolish. But his performance was not one of his best nights.

If Santorum had delivered with some of the strong points he had in previous debates he might have continued doing better going into Michigan and Arizona. This debate could have the same consequences as did the bad debates for Gingrich in Florida.

The Republican Establishment is also a loser of sorts. For years they have allowed the liberal media to call the shots on their debates. The Republican mainstream voters are tired of it. Blogs ranging from the Tea Party Nation to Red State and on have called the GOP establishment on this; even the National Review addressed this today.

Santorum started with momentum tonight, but he needed to have a debate strategy. Romney had  his debate strategy down. He was going to get in someone’s face and push them back on their heels. Gingrich was in his preferred position and he had the strategy of being the Republican wise man, which he pulled off well and relished in.  And Ron Paul was his independent self and really went after Santorum.

Santorum seemed to have no strategy other than to just showing up, and neither he nor Newt came across as presidential

We will know in the next few days how badly this debate hurt Santorum, since the voters have been so fickle this primary season. One thing is certain. Romney can probably breathe a little easier tonight and the polls in Michigan should keep tightening.  Donald Trump appeared with Greta on the Record after the debate and Trump said he just saw that Romney have pulled into the lead in Michigan where Santorum had been leading.  If Romney wins Michigan and Arizona he has a decided advantage on Super Tuesday. 

The outcome of the upcoming primaries may shift the entire ebb and flow of the GOP race again and could end the talk of a brokered convention, one of the ongoing side stories in this roller coaster of a race.  Some feel it could be the best thing that ever happened to the GOP, but most feel it would be a nightmare.  And some still think there could be surprises ahead on both sides.

But if the American people don’t wake up as to the importance of this election… America and everyone in it is the loser.  Only 4.5 million people watched last night’s debate, in probably the most important election of all our life times.  That is a travesty!  And truly if you are not paying attention you are not equipped to vote!

Republicans rally for Dwight D. Eisenhower during their National Convention, Chicago, 1952.

Another side story is the question of whether Ron Paul has been keeping his Mitts off Mitt in order to get his son, Rand, on the ticket?  Ron or Rand Paul will at least get a speaking position and input at the convention if Ron keeps picking up delegates.

Like Father Like Son?  Maybe but smoother around the edges?

Many feel it’s all coming down to this: Ron Paul is staying in this race, no matter what, in order to assist Romney, because he wants his son to be on the Presidential ticket with Mitt Romney.

As he travels around stumping on the basis of his limited government position, he is also fishing to get his son on the ticket with another candidate in this race.  In tonight’s debate on CNN, the elder Paul had every chance to criticize Romney, but he didn’t, and instead spent his time hammering Santorum. Coincidence???

I like many of the things Ron Paul stands for in the domestic arena, but can the younger Paul effect policy changes as part of the Romney team, or will virtually none of Ron Paul’s positions be adopted in the end?  It could be interesting if they can pull it off!  As they say, politics make strange bedfellows and Romney’s presidency would be the antithesis of much of what Ron Paul has advocated.

At the conclusion of the debate on CNN, Anderson Cooper came on as the stage emptied of the candidates, and I watched with interest as Mitt Romney got up and directly went to shake Ron Paul’s hand and exchange a few words with him.

This is definitely season full of surprises!

Related:

BREAKING: Did Sarah Palin Just Announce She Would Accept The GOP Nomination if Drafted?

A Path to a Brokered GOP Convention Emerges…. Bush verses Palin?

Expect Costly Lawsuits With Voter Photo ID Says ACLU of MN

Breitbart to Conservatives: "Unite or Perish!"

Conservative Super Star Sarah Palin: Brought the Red Meat to CPAC and They Loved It… Loved Her!

Audio:  Santorum’s Right on Religion - Religious Liberty… ObamaCare’s First Casualty

Rubio’s Mormon Past Revealed  -  There is a definite question as to Rubio’s eligibility to be president/VP but on this issue… Obama’s father and step-father were Muslims and his mother and grandparents were progressive atheists… Obama himself, questionable and we are worried about Mormons?  Really??

Sunday, January 8, 2012

All Eyes On New Hampshire… Another GOP Debate - Updated

Mitt Romney wins… Rick Santorum second… and Ron Paul third, just like in the Iowa Caucuses. After some initial feistiness, I really didn't see any big attacks on each other that were noteworthy and with those headlines, they came out swinging Sunday morning.

ABC DebateABC DebateMitt Romney and Rick SantorumNewt Gingrich and Rick Perry

The Spectacle Blog  -  ABC NH GOP Debate Post-Mortem  -  By Aaron Goldstein on 1.7.12 @11:59PM

Here are my final thoughts on tonight's New Hampshire GOP debate which aired on ABC.

Jon Huntsman - A typical performance for the former Ambassador to China with more than a touch of snark. Somehow I don't think there's a significant Mandarin speaking community in New Hampshire, and his display of the command of the Mandarin language just made him look uppity.

Ron Paul - He had a couple of testy exchanges with Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich and squeaked at a high enough pitch that he could be heard by dogs residing at the animal shelter nearest to St. Anselm College.  But as always he made some good points.

Mitt Romney - He stayed on message, made George Stephanopoulos look ridiculous and got some laughs when he called Ron Paul "our constitutionalist." Nobody challenged him except for Santorum and Romney seemed to get the better of those exchanges. Mitt Romney again kept his eye and focus on the prize… defeating Obama.

Rick Santorum - He had a particularly testy exchange with Paul over his lucrative post-Senatorial activities. Drew jeers when he told Paul he wasn't telling the truth after a bell rang. He did challenge Romney on a couple of occasions but didn't knock him off his game. It wasn't one of his better debates, but overall I’d rate him as coming in 2nd.

Newt Gingrich - Contrary to expectations, Newt did not go nuclear on Romney, other than another swipe at Bain Capital.  He generally reserved his toughest language for Ron Paul. Aside from that exchange, Newt stayed positive and drew applause when he challenged Sawyer and Stephanopoulos over their gay marriage questions and energy independence. It got better, but in the beginning Gingrich just came across as an angry curmudgeon.

Rick Perry - He spoke little but earned applause when he spoke about the Obama Administration's "war on religion." When he suggested that New Hampshire adopt a right to work bill, the applause was far more tepid. Perry is clearly gearing up for South Carolina. This debate certainly didn’t move him up in New Hampshire.

The next debate will take place tomorrow morning on NBC at 9 a.m.  Since we have to get up bright and early tomorrow for the next GOP faceoff I think the candidates should be required to spend the debate in their pajamas. Admittedly this format would work better if Michele Bachmann were still in the race.

Lead In To Tonight's Presidential Debate In New Hampshire 2012

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate In New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.1

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate In New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.2

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate In New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.3

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate In New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.4

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate in New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.5

January 07, 2012 ABC News

2012 Republican Presidential Debate In New Hampshire At Saint Anselm College pt.6

January 07, 2012 ABC News

Post Debate Analysis 2012 New Hampshire Saint Anselm College Republican Presidential Debate

Republican Candidates Participate In Final Debate Before NH Primary

The Winners from the Iowa Caucus… Santorum #2… Romney #1… and Ron Paul #3, but may have won in delegates

(Latest NH polls show Romney at 40.1% Ron Paul at 20%, Rick Santorum at 10.5% and Jon Hunstman, who has virtually in NH for months and skipped the Iowa Caucus at 9.4%)

The attacks expected on Mitt Romney that did not come in last night’s (Saturday’s) debate in Saint Anselm College were waged this morning in Concord… Mitt shrugged them off as expected if you are 20+ points ahead in the polls.  And it probably had little effect since few got up to watch a presidential debate at 9a.m ET on a Sunday!!

Supporters and protesters rally ahead of NBC News/Facebook Debate

Meet the Press – January 8th

Verbal attacks by Gingrich served as bookends to the 90-minute morning debate in which Romney strongly defended his standing as front-runner in the Republican campaign to pick an opponent to President Barack Obama.   Romney is 20+% ahead in all polls in New Hampshire.  He is as much as 44% ahead in some.

The Romney rivals spent most of the debate attacking Romney instead of Obama.  Romney again stayed of the weeds focused on the bigger goal and therefore looked more presidential and less petty.

Romney won the Iowa caucuses last Tuesday by eight votes over Santorum. He leads in the polls in New Hampshire, where his rivals have all but conceded he will win.

South Carolina comes next, on Jan. 21, the first Southern state to hold a primary, and Romney pointedly noted that he has been endorsed by that state's popular governor, Nikki Haley.

Right now the averaged polls show Romney as 1st, Santorum as 2nd, Gingrich as 3rd and Paul as 4th.  Huntsman and Perry lag far behind there.

The Concord debate began only hours after the one at Saint Anselm college in which Romney's rivals made early attempts to knock the former Massachusetts governor off-stride but then spent more time squabbling among themselves in an attempt to emerge as his chief rival.  So this morning they came our swinging… but to questionable positive results.

Unfortunately for Newt Gingrich, he has put himself in the position of being the wounded whiner throwing rocks instead or the statesman with the best lines and debating skills as people saw him a month ago. Today he even repeated a charge from a past debate that Romney had already answered well.

Santorum, took a swipe at Romney, asking why he hadn't sought re-election as governor after one term, but in the end he didn’t appear to help or hurt himself in this debate appearance.

Supporters and protesters rally ahead of NBC News/Facebook Debate

A small group of Santorum supporters stood outside the morning debate in Concord

Rick Perry drew laughter as well as applause when he said that federal bureaucrats would experience pain as a result of his plans to cut spending, especially those in the departments of education, commerce and energy. That was a reference to his gaffe in an earlier debate when he couldn't recall the name of the third of the Cabinet-level agencies he has proposed eliminating.

Jon Huntsman, who was President Barack Obama's ambassador to China before quitting to run for the White House, returned to a comment Romney had made the night before. Romney said then that the rest of the GOP hopefuls had been trying to oppose the administration's policies while Huntsman was advancing them.

"And I just want to remind the people here in New Hampshire and throughout the United States, he criticized me while he was out raising money for serving my country in China, yes, under a Democrat, like my two sons are doing in the United States Navy. They're not asking what political affiliation the president is. "

Ron Paul who is polling 2nd in New Hampshire, but losing a little momentum, was a little bit more subdued this morning than in last nights debate.

Generally, the morning-after debate followed the same trend as the one the night before leaving Romney fairly untouched after a lot of ineffective petty jabs.

Several of the candidates went directly to other events from the Concord debate.

Republican Presidential candidates square off in final New Hampshire debate in Concord

Concord New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Debate pt.1

January 08, 2012 NBC News

Concord New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Debate pt.2

January 08, 2012 NBC News

Concord New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Debate pt.3

January 08, 2012 NBC News

Concord New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Debate pt.4

January 08, 2012 NBC News

Concord New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Debate pt.5

January 08, 2012 NBC News

Mike Huckabee: “Will I support any of the candidates if they are chosen as the GOP nominee… Absolutely, because the mirror on my wall says compared to Obama, they are conservatives one and all!!”

Thursday, December 15, 2011

GOP Candidates Looking to 'Close the Deal' in Last-Chance Iowa Debate

Don’t Miss the last GOP Debate of 2011 and  before voting begins in the January 3, 2012 Iowa Caucuses, tonight at 9p.m. ET hosted by Fox Cable News.

FOX NEWS – Chris Stirewalt: It’s been 32 weeks since the first Republican presidential debate, (the last) Iowa debate and Straw Poll. Since then, a changing cast of contenders has faced off a dozen times across the country with millions watching at home.

Of the original combatants from that May 5 meeting in Greenville, S.C., only two, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, remain. There have been four lead changes in national polls, two candidates dropped out, four candidates joined the field and billions of pixels poured out by reporters and pundits trying to make sense of it all.

Tonight, that all culminates here on the western edge of Iowa with the 13th showdown — the last chance for candidates to make their cases before voters start the process of picking a presidential nominee. Even in a cycle that has been shaped by televised debates like no other, the stakes for the candidates this evening are enormous.

Here’s what’s on the line for the six men and one woman vying for the chance to confront Barack Obama. . . . . Read More

Debt image

GOP Candidates Looking to 'Close the Deal' in Last-Chance Iowa Debate

The Republican presidential candidates will have one last chance on the national stage Thursday night to make their case to voters before the frantic season of caucuses and primaries gets underway. At the Fox News debate in Sioux City, Iowa, everybody but front-runner Newt Gingrich is looking to shake up the race in a big way.

In a primary campaign replete with gaffes and other "oops" moments, the candidates are under pressure to give a steady performance -- they don't want another public misstep hanging in the cold Iowa air for the three remaining weeks before the caucuses. For the middle-of-the-pack candidates, the debate is a chance to demonstrate why caucus-goers should give them a second look. For Gingrich and Mitt Romney, it's a chance to lock down notoriously fickle and straying support.

"This is a clean-up debate," said Steffen Schmidt, political science professor at Iowa State University. "It's sort of the county fair right before the state fair ... where they want to see whether that pony is lame or not."

And minds are not quite made up. "They really are waiting for somebody to close the deal. And nobody has," Schmidt said.

After months of tumult, the polls over the past three weeks have bared a few themes. Gingrich is the unrivaled front-runner. Romney, in second position, can't seem to break through the low 20s. Nobody else is close. But in poll after poll, Romney fares better against President Obama in a general election than Gingrich.

As Romney tries to claw his way back to the top, analysts say the former Massachusetts governor would be wise to stress the electability argument Thursday.

Republican pollster Adam Geller said primary voters are more concerned than usual about whether the GOP nominee can actually beat Obama in November.

"There is an unbelievable reservoir of anger and fear and frustration, and electability does become a very, very important factor in a year like this," he said. "This is one of the reasons why Rick Perry hasn't done well."

He said Gingrich and Romney, with their "grasp of the issues" have done well because they've shown an ability to be competitive against the current occupant of the White House.

To that end, Geller said Gingrich needs to keep his cool Thursday. Though the former House speaker is sure to face attacks from all sides, Gingrich must be "gracious" to his opponents and "have that self-editor fired up," Geller said.

It's a tricky task. Gingrich has pledged to run a "positive" campaign, but Romney is sharpening his attacks. This week, his campaign released a web video that mocked Gingrich for once cutting an ad on climate change with House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi. "With friends like Newt, who needs the left?" the ad said.

Romney, who has tried to pigeonhole Gingrich as a Washington insider with little practical economic experience, told Fox News that "people are coming to the conclusion increasingly that I'm the person with the experience and the temperament and the capacity to actually lead America and to defeat President Obama."

Schmidt said Gingrich, while staying positive to the extent he can Thursday night, will have to defend himself. Gingrich's past contract work for Freddie Mac, his one-time support of an individual health care mandate in the early '90s and his proposal to let some illegal immigrants stay in the country have all attracted scrutiny.

But Schmidt said Romney has a tightrope to walk. In dreary times, Romney can't be a downer.

"Mitt Romney has to take on his Republican opponents with a sharper blade and at the same time make people feel that the future is positive," he said.

The other candidates still have a chance to break through. While the national polls show Gingrich and Romney at the top, the Iowa polls have Texas Rep. Ron Paul right up there on the leader board.

In an interview with Fox News, Paul said his loyal supporters could help pull out a victory in the Jan. 3 caucuses.

"We've been working to that end and we've been organizing," Paul said. "We're giving a lot of answers to the questions that so many people across the country are asking."

Schmidt said Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, who won the Iowa Ames Straw Poll over the summer before Perry entered the race and stole her thunder, remains the "sleeper" candidate in the race.

Bachmann, stressing her Iowa roots and advertising an upcoming 99-county Iowa tour, told Fox News that Iowans will realize she's "the one true constitutional conservative" in the race.

"Iowans are going to come back home," she told Fox News.

Perry, too, is trying to regain the confidence of voters. On a bus tour through Iowa, Perry stopped in Council Bluffs Wednesday where he depicted himself as the outsider candidate, and Romney and Gingrich as insiders who are not going to "change a thing."

Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who has poured his campaign resources into Iowa and was the only candidate to receive a standing ovation at a social issues debate forum in Iowa hosted by Mike Huckabee on Wednesday will attend, as well as former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman.

Source: Fox News

Watch Fox News and FoxNews.com for the Republican presidential primary debate on Thursday night at 9 p.m. ET.

Related:

The Media Obsession With and Abuse of Polls 

Video: Limbaugh Surveys the GOP Contenders

The DNC’s Christmas Gift to Newt Gingrich as Savage Offer’s Him $1M to Drop Out of the Race

On the Road to the White House 2012… Time for the GOP to Step Up

Video:  A Voter’s Guide to Republicans

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Reminder: Will You Be Watching Tonight’s Republican Debate at 8PM ET - Updated For Those Who Missed It

For Those Who Missed the Debate… Here it is in 8 parts…

The debate was pretty feisty but perhaps it is time to stop beating each other up and focusing on the country’s problems, the GOP’s solutions and Obama mistakes and ideology instead!!

Many feel that Perry was more engaged but probably lost to Romney because of his attack style.

Republican debate

There definitely was a heightened degree of animus in the air, which pushed the usually unruffled Mitt Romney into a series of raised-voice, finger-jabbing confrontations, most dramatically with Texas Gov. Rick Perry: Video

Ron Paul got his dig in about the Fed; directed at Herman Cain.

Debate topics included: Immigration, foreclosures, job creation, ObamaCare, and a continuation of Perry’s pastor’s attack on Romney for his Mormon religion.

Ron Paul Campaign Ad Running Every 1/2 Hour On CNN In Lead Up To Tonight's Debate

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate pt.1

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate pt.2

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate pt.3

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate In Nevada pt.4

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate In Nevada pt.5

October 18, 2011 CNN

Republican Presidential Debate Nevada pt.5 (Part 6)

October 18, 2011 CNN

2012 Republican Presidential Debate Nevada pt.7

October 18, 2011 CNN

2012 Republican Presidential Debate Nevada pt.8

October 18, 2011 CNN
Other

Herman Cain Post Debate Interview

October 18, 2011 CNN

Ron Paul "We're In A Debt Crisis That's Worldwide"

October 17, 2011 News Corp
Judge Nap

Rand Paul "I Believe The Public Is Telling These Candidates They Need To Behave More Like Ron Paul"

October 18, 2011 CURRENT TV Keith Olbermann

After the debate, Michele Bachmann and Newt Gingrich appeared on Fox’s ‘On the Record’ with Greta Van Susteren. Cain was also suppose to appear but was somehow held up, so Michele Bachman came back after the break with Wayne Newton in tow, who gave Bachmann a glowing endorsement.

Sarah Palin also appeared on ‘On the Record’ giving her take on the debate. She gave Cain, Santorum, Bachmann and Gingrich a thumbs up.

Overall vote on GOP debate: Cain and Romney win, including the Washington Post

BTW… one quarter of the population have not seen any of the GOP debates. 

Ask Marion~

Debates have had consequences this time around

Tonight the fifth debate since Labor Day is being held in Las Vegas, a city where people win and lose big regularly, with CNN as the debate host.  The question tonight will be if those boycotting the debate will be winners or losers and if those participating could be even bigger winners or losers?

With less than 11-weeks to go until the Iowa primary on January 3rd, even though some will be screaming at their TV that there is another debate or at Michele Bachmann as she recalls how many children she has raised or even at Herman Cain when he mentions his 9-9-9 plan for the 999th time, everyone but Jon Huntsman will now be there…  Santorum had a last minute epiphany! 

One less will actually improves the debate and gives more time to each candidate. Huntsman probably isn’t long for this race anyway, since he really chose the wrong party to run in.  He would have been much smarter to run as a a moderate Democrat alternative to Obama!

The background drama causing the boycott is between New Hampshire and Nevada over the timing of their contests. New Hampshire would like Nevada to move back its caucuses from Jan. 14 to Jan. 17. Nevada so far isn't budging. Huntsman, who is banking on a decent performance in New Hampshire to stay in the race, isn't even showing up at the debate. Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Santorum have promised to join Huntsman in boycotting the caucuses if they aren't moved back. Romney, Paul and Perry are not boycotting and his puts Mitt Romney and Ron Paul in an awkward position. Romney is hoping to win both states and doesn't want to alienate either. Paul also has a significant following in both states. In 2008, Romney won the caucuses while Paul finished a distant second.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Godfather Pizza CEO Herman Cain enter tonight's CNN/Western Republican debate as the leaders of the race for the GOP presidential nomination, according to national polls.  Will they remain in that position after this debate?

Tonight’s moderator is CNN’s Anderson Cooper and starts at 8 p.m. ET at the Sands Expo and Convention Center and the Venetian Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada. The debate will be shown on CNN, the CNN mobile apps and CNN.com/Live.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Perry Leads but Romney Gaining in GOP Favorability… and Cain’s 9 9 9 Plan

Originally posted on September 13, 2011

by Lydia Saad

PRINCETON, NJ -- Rick Perry and Herman Cain continue to generate the most intensely positive favorable ratings from Republicans familiar with them in Gallup Daily tracking conducted over the past two weeks -- prior to Monday night's CNN/Tea Party Republican presidential debate in Florida. Perry's Positive Intensity Score of 24 is holding near the upper boundary of his scores since he entered the race, similar to the 25 recorded in the prior two weeks. Cain's 22, however, is on the low end of his recent scores, and down five percentage points since late August.

Positive Intensity Scores of Potential 2012 GOP Presidential Candidates, Late August and Early September 2011

See all election 2012 data >

Mitt Romney is the only announced candidate whose Positive Intensity Score has improved significantly in recent weeks. His current 16 is up from 11 in late August and is his highest rating since mid-July, thus narrowing the gap with Perry. Rudy Giuliani, who has yet to decide if he will run, still edges out Romney with an 18.

Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann have seen significant declines in their Positive Intensity Scores since late August. Palin, who has also not decided whether to run, is down six points, from 16 to 10, and Bachmann is down three points, from 13 to 10. Both women are now at new lows for the year, with Bachmann's score cut in half since early August.

Recent Trends in Positive Intensity, July 4-Sept. 11, 2011, Among Four GOP 2012 Contenders

Newt Gingrich's score remains slightly better than the low single digits he registered for most of the summer, but shows no signs of recovering to the mid-teens, where he was when he entered the race earlier this year. Ron Paul's 7 score is consistent with his readings since early June.

Gallup computes Positive Intensity Scores by subtracting the percentage of Republicans with highly unfavorable views of each candidate from the percentage with highly favorable views, based on those who say they have heard of the candidate. The results are reported on the basis of continuous two-week rolling averages. The Aug. 29-Sept. 11 field period for the latest results includes four days of interviewing after the Sept. 7 Republican presidential debate held at the Ronald Reagan Library.

Palin and Giuliani Remain the Biggest Names

Despite missing out on the media attention brought by participation in candidate debates like those recently held in Tampa and Simi Valley, Palin and Giuliani remain the most well-known of the 10 possible Republican presidential candidates Gallup tracks. Ninety-seven percent of Republicans nationwide say they are familiar with Palin and 89% with Giuliani.

With roughly 84% to 86% name recognition among Republicans, Gingrich, Romney, and Bachmann all now approach the high recognition Giuliani enjoys, while Paul is not far behind with 81%. Perry still lags on this measure, recognized by 75%, but that is after an early August surge in recognition from his initial 55% reading. Perry is well ahead of Rick Santorum (54%), Herman Cain (48%), and Jon Huntsman (46%).

Recognition Scores of Potential 2012 GOP Presidential Candidates, Late August and Early September 2011

Bottom Line

With just under five months remaining before Republican primary voters start casting ballots for the 2012 Republican nomination, Perry continues to generate more positive intensity from Republicans who know him than any other announced or potential candidate Gallup tracks. This is particularly notable because Perry has managed to maintain a strong Positive Intensity Score as his recognition among Republicans has expanded from 55% in July to 75% today. Romney, however, remains better known, and has recently seen his sagging Positive Intensity Score rebound, although he still lags significantly behind Perry on this measure.

The news is not as good for Bachmann, who has lost much of the passionate support she generated as recently as early August. Positive intensity for Palin among national Republicans has also slipped to a new low for the year.

Republicans' views of Paul, Gingrich, Santorum, and Huntsman all seem to be in a holding pattern at levels seemingly keeping these men out of serious contention for the nomination. Huntsman does particularly poorly in Republicans' eyes, and is the only candidate tracked whose Positive Intensity Score is a net negative, meaning that more Republicans who know him have a strongly unfavorable opinion than have a strongly favorable opinion.

Cain continues to be an anomaly, scoring high in positive intensity among those who know him, yet unable to push his recognition above the 50% level, and scoring low in trial-heat ballot measures.

With three more debates between now and mid-October, all of the candidates will have an opportunity to change their images among Republicans. They all certainly tried to advance their positions in the recent debates, and the extent to which they were successful should be evident in Gallup's Sept. 5-18 positive intensity update.

Track every angle of the presidential race on Gallup.com's Election 2012 page.

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking Aug. 29-Sept. 11, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period (with no interviewing on Labor Day, Sep. 5), each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. For the Positive Intensity Score for each candidate, the maximum margin of sampling error varies depending on the size of the group recognizing the candidate.

Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking. Each sample includes a minimum quota of 400 cell phone respondents and 600 landline respondents per 1,000 national adults, with additional minimum quotas among landline respondents by region. Landline telephone numbers are chosen at random among listed telephone numbers. Cell phone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday.

Samples are weighted by gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, adults in the household, and phone status (cell phone only/landline only/both, cell phone mostly, and having an unlisted landline number). Demographic weighting targets are based on the March 2010 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older non-institutionalized population living in U.S. telephone households. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting and sample design.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

Source: www.gallup.com.

Herman Cain's 9 9 9 plan

I haven't really decided who I'm voting for in the primaries. I know, I'm from Texas, so it's supposed to be either Rick Perry or Ron Paul, right? Well, I'm afraid of all the Ron Paul Zombies, even though I agree with about 80% of what Ron Paul says. I don't think I like his international ideas. I'm not sure how I feel about Rick Perry yet. I think the only way I'd vote for either of these is if they won the Republican nomination. Anyone is better than Obama, but I said that 3 years ago. Even if Rick Perry turns out to be a RINO, he can't do more damage than Obama has done in the past couple or more years.
I am really leaning toward Herman Cain. Yes, I know, I'm a white, conservative Republican, I'm supposed to be racist. And I'm not like a liberal who is voting for the black man to make myself feel good or prove I'm not a racist. If Herman Cain won as President, we'd really have our first Black President. Obama is half black. We'd also have a patriot instead of a Marxist.

But, anyway, I just heard Herman Cain discuss his 9 9 9 plan, and I like it. I wanted to tell you why. First, here's the plan: From his article found at http://hermancaincommentary.blogspot.com/2011/08/mr-president-youre-fired-but-if-you.html
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A 9% business flat tax. Gross income less all investments, all purchases from other businesses, and all dividends paid to shareholders.
A 9% individual income flat tax. Gross income less charitable deductions.
A 9% national sales tax. This significantly expands the tax base, which helps everyone.
This plan has the following advantages:
It is fair, revenue-neutral, transparent and efficient.
It puts zero tax on capital gains and repatriated profits.
It replaces the payroll tax.
It will aid capital availability for small businesses.
It saves taxpayers $430 billion in annual compliance costs.
It eliminates the uncertainty holding this economy down.
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The individual income tax would lower everyone who currently pays taxes (not counting the 47% who get all their taxes back or more). It may harm those who get more back, because the only deduction would be charitable contributions. That means you don't get paid by the government just because you have 8 kids. You don't get any earned income credit because you chose to work part of the year, but not enough to actually have to file. It will emliminate the attitude of "Oh, I can get by with a part time job, because I can sit on my butt the other half and get earned income credit to make it up. You put out money, and get to take it off your taxes. We're currently in the 15% tax bracket, 25% if you would happen to count his retirement check. So, that's about $5000 now. The retirement check doesn't all count right now, but it does lower how much we get back because we have to live on it. I think the difference was something like %1700, because I forgot to add it at first. At 9% it would be between $3000 and $4800 if they counted the whole retirement check. I believe it would closer to $3500-4000,
The corporate tax is also a flat tax. Small business owners will still be basically taxed twice if they own their own business, but they'll know how much and you get deductions (even for share holders).
He doesn't say it, but the flat national sales tax on new items would catch the illegal aliens, the foreign investors, any legal visitor who buys things here. Unless that's what he meant about expanding the tax base. That's a pay as you go. If you don't want to pay the tax, buy used. I go to thrift stores a lot. There are some really nice ones. And if you consider that a charitable contribution or keep it one), the "rich" will donate more of their clothes in order to get that deduction. I got a pair of beaded capri's that still had the original tag on it ($120) for something like $5. But if he rich don't want to buy used, they have to buy new and pay 9% national sales tax. That theoretically should satisfy the liberals who don't want the rich to have nice things, or to pay more because they have more. If they aren't willing to pay the sales tax, they too are able to shop at thrift stores. It will also eliminate those like Buffett who are trying to get out of millions in taxes, while at the same time saying people just like them should pay more. You want to pay more? Either don't give charitable donation, or don't claim them. You don't have to claim deductions.

I know this sounded like a commercial for Herman Cain, but like I said, I haven't really made up my mind yet. There are points I agree with from all the candidates, it's just that this is the first simple plan I've seen.

What I think they should all agree on, is that whoever wins the nomination (and they all agree to stay in until all primaries are done), appoints all the other nominees into the cabinet. We could use people like all those running (except Huntsman, I don't believe at all he's conservative). I'm sure they could find some small cabinet appointment for him, though.

Source: America’s Voice Corps

Palin and Bachmann are at poll lows right now, but both could come back! This upcoming debate is an important one and time is growing near for the holdouts to decide!!

Poll Grounds Obama Losing Ground to Republicans  -  Palin within 5 points of Obama