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Election Season 2014

And it has brought us to this trainwreck called ObamaCare and we have bankrupted our kids and grandkids!

We are now headed into the 2014 Election Season and common sense and conservatism are on the rise. Please stand-up and be counted!

Reading Collusion: How the Media Stole the 2012 Election is a great place to start!

The Founding Father's Real Reason for the Second Amendment

And remember the words of Thomas Jefferson "The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government." See Video of Suzanna Gratia-Hupp’s Congressional Testimony: What the Second Amendment is REALLY For, below (u-tube HERE).

The Leaders Are Here... Palin, Cruz, Lee, Paul, Chaffetz....

T'S A WONDERFUL LIFE

Can You Really Still Believe That None of These People Would Have Done a Better Job???

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Showing posts with label Treasuries. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Treasuries. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Exclusive: U.S. lets China bypass Wall Street for Treasury orders

(Reuters) - China can now bypass Wall Street when buying U.S. government debt and go straight to the U.S. Treasury, in what is the Treasury's first-ever direct relationship with a foreign government, according to documents viewed by Reuters.

The relationship means the People's Bank of China buys U.S. debt using a different method than any other central bank in the world.

The other central banks, including the Bank of Japan, which has a large appetite for Treasuries, place orders for U.S. debt with major Wall Street banks designated by the government as primary dealers. Those dealers then bid on their behalf at Treasury auctions.

China, which holds $1.17 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, still buys some Treasuries through primary dealers, but since June 2011, that route hasn't been necessary.

The documents viewed by Reuters show the U.S. Treasury Department has given the People's Bank of China a direct computer link to its auction system, which the Chinese first used to buy two-year notes in late June 2011.

China can now participate in auctions without placing bids through primary dealers. If it wants to sell, however, it still has to go through the market.

The change was not announced publicly or in any message to primary dealers.

"Direct bidding is open to a wide range of investors, but as a matter of general policy we do not comment on individual bidders," said Matt Anderson, a Treasury Department spokesman.

While there is been no prohibition on foreign government entities bidding directly, the Treasury's accommodation of China is unique.

The Treasury's sales of U.S. debt to China have become part of a politically charged public debate about China's role as the largest exporter to the United States and also the country's largest creditor.

The privilege may help China obtain U.S. debt for a better price by keeping Wall Street's knowledge of its orders to a minimum.

Primary dealers are not allowed to charge customers money to bid on their behalf at Treasury auctions, so China isn't saving money by cutting out commission fees.

Instead, China is preserving the value of specific information about its bidding habits. By bidding directly, China prevents Wall Street banks from trying to exploit its huge presence in a given auction by driving up the price.

It is one of several courtesies provided to a buyer in a class by itself in terms of purchasing power. Although the Japanese, for example, own about $1.1 trillion of Treasuries, their purchasing has been less centralized. Buying by Japan is scattered among institutions, including pension funds, large Japanese banks and the Bank of Japan, without a single entity dominating.

Granting China a direct bidding link is not the first time Treasury has gone to great lengths to keep its largest client happy.

In 2009, when Treasury officials found China was using special deals with primary dealers to conceal its U.S. debt purchases, the Treasury changed a rule to outlaw those deals, Reuters reported last June. But at the same time it relaxed a reporting requirement to make the Chinese more comfortable with the amended rule.

Another feature of the U.S.-China business relationship is discretion: The Treasury tried to keep its motivation for the 2009 rule change under wraps, Reuters reported.

Documents dealing with China's new status as a direct bidder again demonstrate the Treasury's desire for secrecy -- in terms of Wall Street and its new direct bidding customer.

To safeguard against hackers, Treasury officials upgraded the system that allows China to access the bidding process.

Then they discussed ways to deflect questions from Wall Street traders that would arise once the auction results began revealing the undeniable presence of a foreign direct bidder.

"Most hold the view that foreign accounts only submit 'indirect bids' through primary dealers. This will likely cause significant chatter on the street and many questions will likely come our way," wrote one government official in an email viewed by Reuters.

In the email, the official suggested providing basic, general answers to questions about who can bid in Treasury actions.

"For questions more extensive or probing in nature, I think it prudent to direct them to the or Treasury public relations area," the official wrote.

The granting to China of direct bidder status may be controversial because some government officials are concerned that China has gained too much leverage over the United States through its large Treasury holdings.

For example, economist Brad Setser, who is a member of the National Economic Council and has also served on the National Security Council, has argued China's large Treasury holdings pose a national security threat.

Writing for the Council on Foreign Relations in 2009, Setser posited that China's massive U.S. debt holdings gave it power over U.S. policy via the threat of a swift, large sale of U.S. debt that could send the market into turmoil and drive up interest rates.

But Treasury officials have long maintained that U.S. debt sales to China are kept separate from politics in a business relationship that benefits both countries. The Chinese use Treasuries to house the dollars they receive from selling goods to the United States, while the U.S. government is happy to see such strong demand for its debt because it keeps interest rates low.

A spokesman for the Chinese embassy in Washington did not respond to calls and emails seeking comment.

The United States has, however, displayed increasing anxiety about China as a cybersecurity threat. The change Treasury officials made to their direct bidding system before allowing access to China was to limit access to the system to a specially designed private network connection controlled by the Treasury.

China is among the most sensitive topics for bankers and government officials who court the country as a financial client because of its size and importance, and none would agree to comment on the record for this story.

A former debt management official at the Treasury who did not want to be identified said that as China's experience in the U.S. Treasury market has deepened over time, Chinese officials may have felt more comfortable taking the reins in the management of their holdings.

Their request to bid directly, in his view, came from a confidence that their money managers could buy U.S. debt more efficiently on their own than through Wall Street banks, which can often drive up the price of Treasuries at an auction if they know how much large clients are willing to pay. Such a practice that is not specifically illegal, though most traders would deem it unethical.

Evidence of China's growing sophistication as a money manager in the U.S. markets is clear in its expansion of operations in New York. Its money management arm, the State Administration for Foreign Exchange (commonly called SAFE), has an office in Midtown Manhattan and a seasoned chief investment officer -- former Pacific Investment Management Co derivatives head Changhong Zhu -- in Beijing.

A woman who answered the phone at SAFE's New York office said no one in the office was authorized to talk to the media.

(Editing by Martin Howell and Steve Orlofsky)

Related:

WHY IS CHINA OUR NATION’S NATIONAL BANK

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

15 DAY TIMELINE FOR FALL OF THE DOLLAR (according to Vickers and Beck) Once or When China Says No More US Bonds

damnedHere is a reminder of Glenn Beck's 15 day timeline from the day that China says "no more bonds"...wonder if that was the implication with Saturday's announcement...

China says they may stop buying Treasuries After S&P downgrade??? This was probably an idol threat (for now)

Video: Glenn Beck – Fall of the Dollar Timeline Prediction

Sadly, I guess we will see how accurate his timeline is...

The question is could we already be on this timeline! Probably not, but who really knows… only time will tell? But once it starts it will be quick! Pray my friends… pray and prepare just in case!! Glenn has been right so often on his predictions. So the question probably is not if, but when!!

Here's the breakdown (with the scenario beginning on a Wednesday):
*DAY 1: China says "no more bonds" (Wednesday)
DAY 2: spooked on Wall Street (Thursday)
DAY 3: rumors start to circulate (Friday)
DAY 4: weekend, "kids at soccer" (Saturday)
DAY 5: Asian markets freefall, USD down 10%, gold goes up $200/oz. (Sunday)
DAY 6: Dow plunges 900-1000 pts. in 20 minutes, markets shut down by 9:50 AM, EU raises interest rates to encourage investors (Monday)
DAY 7: Markets unable to open, emergency fed meetings (Tuesday)
DAY 8: All is quiet, markets start to rally (Wednesday)
DAY 9: Quiet, stable (Thursday)
DAY 10: Dollar plunges an ADDITIONAL 10-15% (Friday)
DAY 11: Fed meets (Saturday)
DAY 12: Fed raises interest rates 5-6% to try and attract buyers (Sunday)
day 13: GLOBAL MELTDOWN, EVERY market (not just DOW) falls 3,000 points (Monday)
DAY 14: IMF and G20 meet, total restructuring, NEW GLOBAL ORDER IS ESTABLISHED!!!! Will be announced globally(Tuesday)
DAY 15: PUBLIC PANICS, bank runs, grocery shelves emptied within a few hours, etc.

If the collapse is not quite as near as the next couple of weeks, now that gold is through the roof (something Glenn also predicted and as laughed at for), please prepare. Investment in silver us a great idea… as well as food, water, general supplies, ammo etc.

The Bitter Fruit of Insolvency - Steve McCann

Excerpt:

If a nation wishes to maintain its solvency and continue to expand its economy, it should not experience deficits higher than 3% of its Gross Domestic Product and, in today's quasi-welfare societies, unemployment rates above 6 to 7%. On an aggregate basis, a combination of these percentages should always remain below 10. The higher this "National Insolvency Index" above 10, the greater the problems that country is experiencing, and if that index remains above 10 for three years or more the viable solutions to solve the dilemmas will be increasingly difficult to enact.

The United States has not only one of the worst National Insolvency Indices in the world since 2009 -- the year Barack Obama assumed office -- but the most dismal picture imaginable over the next ten plus years assuming nothing is changed.

The Obama Years:

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

Insolvency Index

19.1

18.5

20.2

18.0 Est.

The average for the eight years of George W. Bush: 7.4

Per the Government Accountability Office for the estimate of future annual budget deficits and the Congressional Budget Office for their estimates of future unemployment rates (it should be noted: the CBO notoriously underestimates), the next 10 years are as follows if no massive and dramatic changes are made:

 

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Index

14.7

14.3

14.0

13.5

13.8

 

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Index

14.0

15.0

15.5

15.8

16.3

At no point from 2009 to 2022 and beyond does this index fall below 10. A disaster of monumental proportions is in the offing, and the optimistic outlook by the Congressional Budget Office that the unemployment rate would be at 5.5% by 2016 will never happen making the index even worse than the above chart.

Over this period from the end of 2008 to 2022, the national debt held by the public as a percent of the Gross Domestic Product will grow from 42.0% to 125% and interest expenditures from 1.4% of GDP to 3.9% (in terms of 2011 dollars that is an increase from $200 Billion to nearly $600 Billion or 64% of the total individual income tax receipts by the IRS in 2010.)

This is why S&P has downgraded the creditworthiness of the United States and in reality should follow up with another more dramatic downgrade soon.

After World War II the United States became the greatest economic and military power the world has ever seen. This accomplishment happened in the period 1947 through 2008. The National Insolvency Index for the country averaged 6.9 over those 61 intervening years. It will average 16.0 from 2009 through 2022, far above the threshold of 10.

The urgency of reversing this index cannot be overstated; the United States is firmly on the path of becoming the most massive economic and financial failure in the history of mankind. The credit downgrade is a shot across the bow, not a political or ideological ploy. Will the current American ruling class and the average American citizen glued to the television begin to wake up and understand that he or she is living a tragic reality show in which everyone and everyone's progeny will bear the burden of a dramatically reduced standard of living and a country at the mercy of others?

Source: American Thinker - h/t to Warbird at Sovereignty in Colorado

The stock market made a slow recovery today… until Bernanke announced that he would (artificially) keep interest rates low through through 2013… or at least until the end of the election (re-election of BHO is the goal), after which all Hell will break lose (as described above or some variation) if he is reelected. AFTER THAT IT MADE A MIRACULOUS RECOVERY!

As for Geithner being relieved of his position… that will only happen if they all (the Chicago Team plus Soros) agree it is for the best because let us not forget, the Geithner-Obama connection, like the Jarrett-Obama connection go waaaay back. We are being played my friends!! (And then Geithner will toddle off to BTW, Rick Santelli pointed out that the reality of things is that without the tea party movement, we probably would have been downgraded to a BBB credit rating by S&P instead of a AA+.

How the Feds are manipulating the market:

"Stock prices are no longer based on buyers and sellers, but instead, on the US central bank. Here's how." LINK: http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Mises-Economics-Blog/2011/0610/Is-the-Fed-manipulating-the-stock-market

"The Fed Is Manipulating The Stock Market And It Should Be No Surprise" LINK: http://www.businessinsider.com/why-is-anyone-surprised-that-the-fed-took-stocks-as-collateral-2010-12

Is the U.S. Government Supporting the Stock Market?
LINK: http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2011/08/fed-exceptionally-low-rates-until-mid.html

Daniel Shaffer Notices the "Invisible Hand" aka Plunge Protection Team LINK: http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2009/05/daniel-shaffer-notices-invisible-hand.html

Larry Levin - the Visible and Invisible Hand is Everywhere
LINK: http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2009/06/larry-levin-visible-and-invisible-hand.html

Per GodLikeProductions… Something is up: Something's Up: White House Cancels All Public Events for Today. LINK: http://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message1589786/pg9

h/t to Tolline Enger

“What is happening is what I told you would happen on Monday that I set my family down over the weekend and I said, I believe the timeline has accelerated.  There has been a trigger and I ask you that if you have listened to this broadcast and if you have been paying attention, I ask you to go back and double your efforts.  I ask you to go back now and realize how close we may be and how you need to prepare to be a help to others, how you need to make sure that you have no hatred in your hearts and it is going to be very difficult.”  TheDailyBeck

A friend of ours asked his accountant what he should be investing in. The Accountants response was: GOLD, SILVER, GUNS, ANNUNITION, FOOD, WATER AND A GOOD BIBLE to carry you through!!

Friday, June 10, 2011

Doomsday? China claims U.S. already in default

The faces of stock traders tell the story that big trouble is brewing.The faces of stock traders tell the story that big trouble is brewing.

(Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images

As a means of stirring up political opposition to the intention of Congressional conservatives to refuse to raise the debt ceiling, the Obama Administration, Congressional Democrats, and liberals in general have warned that if we do not raise the debt limit the U.S. will 'default on its obligations to its lenders.' Apparently that warning was highly misplaced. One of America's largest creditor nations, China, is claiming today that the U.S. is already defaulting on its loans. Is this the doomsday many have warned about for at least 3 years?

The Obama Administration has pursued a policy of deliberately devaluing the dollar and spending the nation into oblivion with money that is borrowed. Many astute political observers, including this writer, have warned incessantly that such a policy would ultimately lead to economic collapse. The more the Administration spends borrowed money without restraint, the more likely it is that the nation will default, given that it has no money to pay its creditors and its creditors are becoming more convinced by the day that they cannot lend America any more money.

Without the luxury of continuing to borrow money, the vast majority of America's obligations to senior adults and the disabled poor will go unfunded. This will lead to widespread suffering on a scale never before experienced in the United States of America.

Not surprisingly, the stock market plunged again today in response to such news, dipping below 12,000 for the first time in months. Today's plunge represents the worst sustained decline in stocks since 2002, just after the 9/11 attacks.

What does this mean for the average citizen on the street?

t means inflation will necessarily skyrocket. This has already happened in the food and energy sectors, but the government conveniently does not count these two items in its inflation numbers. Further, look for food shortages, energy shortages, and continued skyrocketing costs. Electricity rates will be raised to historic levels, in keeping with a statement Obama made in 2007, "Under my plan, energy costs will necessarily skyrocket."

The nation can also look for civil unrest as citizens grow increasingly outraged that their government has deliberately pursued policies that have brought the nation to the brink of ruin. Even James Carville, former Bill Clinton advisor, confirmed that such a scenario is not mere speculation or fear-mongering but a distinct possibility.

What can the government do to reverse this march into the abyss? Stop spending money. Cut the budget drastically. Don't borrow any more money. The government must live off of only what it takes in from the citizens in the current tax structure. And taxes must not be raised in any shape, form, or fashion. That would merely throw dirt on the grave.

In addition, the nation must lower the tax rate for business, making this country the most business-friendly nation on earth. Only the private sector can get the economy moving again, and a friendly and non-oppressive tax structure would do the trick in getting businesses to invest and hire workers.

Be sure to catch my blog at The Liberty Sphere. Visit my ministry site at Martin Christian Ministries.

Source: Examiner.com

 

German Rating Agency Feri Downgrades US Government Bonds: AAA to AA!

The first Western downgrade of US government bonds is a fact! The German credit rating agency Feri lowered its rating on US debt by a full notch, from AAA to AA.

Here is the German press release: Feri Downgrades US Gov Debt AAA to AA

The English translation:

Homburg, 8 June 2011 - The Bad Homburg Feri EuroRating & Research AG downgraded the first credit rating agency's credit rating for the United States from AAA to AA. Feri analysts justify the downgrade by the continuing deterioration of the creditworthiness of the country due to high public debt, inadequate fiscal measures, and weaker growth prospects.

"The U.S. government has fought the effects of the financial market crisis primarily by an increase in government debt. We do not see that there is sufficient attention being paid to other measures, "said Dr. Tobias Schmidt, CEO of Feri Rating & Research AG. "Our rating system shows a deterioration in economic health, so the downgrading of the credit ratings of U.S. is warranted."

For the third consecutive year the deficit of the United States is in double digit percentages relative to gross domestic product (GDP). "Deficits of such magnitude are not a sustainable fiscal policy. We would reconsider the rating when the U.S. government creates a long-term sustainable budget," said Schmidt.

Feri Rating is listed on the Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) as an EU credit rating agency approved and created with more than 20 years experience in sovereign ratings. Every month, the Feri analysts evaluate sovereign credit ratings from the perspective of a foreign investor based on the ability and willingness of countries to repay their debts. The credit ratings have eleven possible gradations between "AAA" (best credit) and "Default".

Obama's Jobs Plan Takes a Page From Marx

By Investor's Business Daily

Politics: The president has unveiled a plan to cut joblessness with an industrial policy from the 19th century. In this "new" economy, government will pick winners and losers for industry. It didn't work then, it won't work now.

Taking a cue from classical Marxist theory as well as vintage union organizing doctrine, both discounting the value of service work over manufacturing, we now see President Obama touting training for factory jobs over all others, pushing government spending in that area and calling it a jobs recovery plan.

"I see a future where we train workers who make things here in the United States, and continue a important and honorable tradition of folks working with their hands, creating value, not just shuffling paper," he said Wednesday at Northern Virginia Community College, urging students to pack up and go to ... Detroit.

As he announced his public-private "Skills for America" partnership to train and credential 500,000 students for jobs in industries favored by the Obama administration, it bears looking at how at odds this approach is to both history and economic reality.

"We know it means building the infrastructure, the roads and bridges, and manufacturing new products here ... that create good jobs," Obama said. "Above all, it means training and educating our citizens to out-compete workers from other countries."

The Bill Moyers crowd has been touting manufacturing-era nostalgia for years, claiming the world would go back on its axis if America could just shut its market and put everyone back into blue collars, turning gears and listening for the lunch whistle.

Fact is, the more advanced the economy, the greater percentage of the work force that moves out of manufacturing and into services.

Economists call this the "tertiary progression" of development - from farming and fishing, to the Industrial Revolution, to an advanced service economy. Every rich nation has followed this path - every one.

In the U.S., that move started not last decade but more than 70 years ago. In the U.S. there are six times more service workers than factory workers, boasting higher skills and per capita income. U.S. trade data consistently show U.S. surpluses in service exports across the board because that's America's competitive advantage.

Now the president wants us to "give back" all that white collar development and return to a simpler sort of economy premised on manufacturing - one that's more characteristic of today's China or Peru than a developed economy such as America.

Amazingly, he wants this even though he admits state-directed industrial policy has failed. "We've got a lot of programs out there," he said. "If a program does not work in training people for the jobs of the future and getting them a job, we should eliminate that program."

Which defies belief when one recalls he's holding up job-creating free-trade treaties with Colombia, Panama and South Korea for just such a useless training program called "Trade Adjustment Assistance," or TAA.

That program is so bad a 2008 American University study by Kara Reynolds and John Palatucci declared it "of dubious value in terms of helping displaced workers find new, well-paying employment opportunities." Obama is holding up a proven way to create jobs - trade deals - to expand TAA from $2 billion to $7 billion.

It's as if all the economic knowledge acquired in the course of the 20th century never made it to the Obama White House. Obama wants to pick industrial winners while the economy languishes from high taxes, massive new regulatory burdens and his failure on free trade.

The only logic that can explain this is that Obama means to spend more money on vocational education to prepare kids for work in industries dominated by unions - Obama's main base of political support.

Presumably, if enough community college students can be trained for traditionally unionized manufacturers, employers will have no choice but to hire them. That's a win-win-win-win for educational bureaucrats, unions, jobs and Obama's political prospects.

Too bad the rest of the economy - which accounts for three-quarters of all U.S. output - didn't make Obama's list of industrial winners.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

$2 Trillion Argument - Glenn Beck Find's the Pro's and Con's From the Experts

On Thursday the Feds bought up $1.15 Trillion in Securities... They bet the farm without asking "You"

March 20, 2009 - 12:29 ET

Is the fed's 'bet the house' strategy going to be effective? If not, what happens? Glenn talked about this on TV last night and because it's such a confusing issue, he wanted to present the best arguments on both sides of the issue. Here they are:


PRO Government “Bet the House” Spending Plan arguments

  • ‘Rambo Fed’ Will Buy Treasuries to Combat Crisis
    By committing to buy Treasuries and double his purchases of mortgage debt, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled his determination to avoid a repeat of the Great Depression and his willingness to pump as much cash into the economy as needed to end the current crisis.
  • Fed launches bold $1.2T effort to revive economy
    With the country sinking deeper into recession, the Federal Reserve launched a bold $1.2 trillion effort Wednesday to lower rates on mortgages and other consumer debt, spur spending and revive the economy.
  • Fed in Bond-Buying Binge to Spur Growth
    Dramatic Plan to Purchase $300 Billion in Treasurys Causes Biggest Drop in Interest Rates Since '87; Perils of Printing Money

CON Government “Bet the House” Spending Plan arguments

  • The Fed End Game
    People are rightly outraged about the AIG bonuses but the amounts involved in that are tiny compared to the size of our problems.
  • Dollar Rally Crumbles as Fed Ramps Up Printing Press
    The rally that pushed the dollar to the highest levels since 2006 is in danger of crumbling as the Federal Reserve starts buying Treasuries and ramps up its purchases of mortgage debt, adding to a flood of greenbacks.
  • The Fed's Futile Move
    In an effort to promote liquidity and boost the economy, the Federal Reserve announced plans to grow the money supply by another 50 percent to 60 percent.

Source:  GlennBeck.com